Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.212934 0.241965 0.273082 0.308870 0.348841 0.392060 0.442277
2026-02-01 0.171351 0.209638 0.253401 0.306948 0.370514 0.443370 0.532993
2026-02-08 0.141887 0.185166 0.237468 0.304953 0.389309 0.490823 0.621739
2026-02-15 0.119867 0.165813 0.224183 0.303132 0.406392 0.536031 0.710157
2026-02-22 0.105940 0.154420 0.218817 0.309626 0.433206 0.594169 0.818076
2026-03-01 0.092497 0.141620 0.209647 0.309351 0.450073 0.639611 0.911761
2026-03-08 0.081654 0.130897 0.201781 0.309439 0.466543 0.684686 1.007003
2026-03-15 0.072811 0.121880 0.195120 0.310099 0.483133 0.730196 1.104894
2026-03-22 0.066386 0.115689 0.191792 0.314961 0.505610 0.784817 1.218367
2026-03-29 0.061532 0.111350 0.190697 0.322793 0.532629 0.847161 1.346176
2026-04-05 0.056341 0.105800 0.187021 0.325995 0.552353 0.899304 1.461186
2026-04-12 0.052187 0.101505 0.184873 0.331248 0.575308 0.957246 1.587690
2026-04-19 0.048824 0.098389 0.184642 0.340032 0.605216 1.028815 1.741262
2026-04-26 0.044191 0.092408 0.178887 0.338884 0.618534 1.074721 1.856784
2026-05-03 0.040019 0.086787 0.173185 0.337231 0.630677 1.119165 1.972127
2026-05-10 0.036318 0.081624 0.167778 0.335531 0.642404 1.163299 2.088998
2026-05-17 0.034147 0.079275 0.167364 0.342817 0.670273 1.235852 2.256803
2026-05-24 0.031304 0.075178 0.163177 0.342608 0.684474 1.285555 2.388074
2026-05-31 0.028791 0.071475 0.159384 0.342758 0.699170 1.336660 2.524017
2026-06-07 0.026587 0.068178 0.156076 0.343511 0.714889 1.390179 2.666536
2026-06-14 0.025018 0.066131 0.155137 0.348860 0.739583 1.460914 2.842797
2026-06-21 0.023858 0.064901 0.155793 0.357458 0.771012 1.545356 3.047489
2026-06-28 0.022363 0.062682 0.154094 0.360975 0.792543 1.612414 3.223363